Obama e Gaza

Nathan Brown è uno di quei pochi studiosi che conosce la politica, le istituzioni, la legislazione dell’Autorità Nazionale Palestinese sin nei più remoti recessi. La sua ultima analisi sullo stato della politica palestinese e su quella che potrebbe essere la strategia di Obama è interessantissima, puntuale, approfondita.

Questa è la conclusione, ma tutto il resto che viene prima è molto, molto più interessante.

The Obama administration is caught in a series of binds it has not yet acknowledged: its efforts will ultimately founder unless it finds a formula that deals with Hamas; the problems get harder rather than easier to solve by the day; and the most promising solution (a NUG) is one that it has resisted precisely because it would likely force it to pursue Israeli–Palestinian peacemaking on a slower schedule and a less familiar set of circumstances than it would prefer.

The new leadership in Washington is refreshingly bold in its tactics but far more conventional in its strategies. Its new approach (especially on settlements) has already attracted attention in the region. But thus far its public policy toward Gaza remains unrealistic: demanding that Hamas change and treating the movement as if it does not exist until it does so. It is difficult to envision how the Obama administration’s initiatives can gain full traction until it develops more realistic ideas on Gaza.

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