Si richiude su se stessa, privilegia l’ambito socioreligioso a discapito di quello politico, il che vuol dire che fa un passo indietro. Questa, in sostanza, la traiettoria che sta seguendo la Fratellanza Musulmana egiziana dopo l’ultima ondata di arresti eccellenti e l’elezione della nuova Guida Suprema: è la conclusione dell’ultimo rapporto del Carnegie, stilato da due dei maggiori esperti di islam politico nel mondo arabo, Nathan Brown e Amr Hamzawy.
Alcuni punti:
For the last ten years, the Brotherhood focused on political reforms and socioeconomic legislation, largely at the expense of its moral and religious agenda—a strategy now under criticism as the movement suffers increased suppression and has few legislative accomplishments.
While the Brotherhood is unlikely to renounce political activity altogether, recent internal party elections saw advocates for political participation ousted. The newly-elected head of the movement, Muhammad Badi, is known for emphasizing the movement’s moral and religious activities.
The Brotherhood has had limited success building ties with other opposition movements, despite its de-emphasis on its moral and religious agenda. Lingering mistrust between Islamists and non-Islamist parties, plus the Brotherhood’s reluctance to join protests (for fear of incurring further crackdowns), has left the movement isolated.
The international community is unlikely to protest the restrictions placed upon the Brotherhood by the government. While enjoying increased international acceptance and respect—a result of concerted outreach effort following the September 11 attacks—the Brotherhood is aligned with political forces (like Hamas) deemed counter to Western interests.
“With the Brotherhood’s retreat, a fleeting opportunity that seemed to arise in the middle of the decade for building a more pluralistic political system and for an open political contest between competing visions for Egypt’s future appears to have been lost,” the authors conclude.
Buona lettura.